Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.008091 0.009113 0.010234 0.011557 0.013078 0.014778 0.016827
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.006308 0.007648 0.009246 0.011303 0.013900 0.017095 0.021358
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.005519 0.007026 0.008925 0.011521 0.015018 0.019620 0.026229
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.004878 0.006451 0.008526 0.011500 0.015722 0.021599 0.030577
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.004231 0.005771 0.007874 0.011010 0.015658 0.022437 0.033350
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003844 0.005391 0.007576 0.010953 0.016165 0.024110 0.037556
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003682 0.005307 0.007678 0.011476 0.017578 0.027305 0.044634
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003310 0.004875 0.007215 0.011072 0.017471 0.028045 0.047683
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003019 0.004536 0.006857 0.010786 0.017508 0.029001 0.051220
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002831 0.004337 0.006697 0.010799 0.018035 0.030846 0.056651
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002757 0.004312 0.006809 0.011273 0.019409 0.034363 0.065867
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002581 0.004104 0.006602 0.011169 0.019723 0.035943 0.071430
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002441 0.003952 0.006484 0.011233 0.020393 0.038373 0.079395
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002264 0.003724 0.006218 0.011001 0.020476 0.039660 0.085137
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002173 0.003638 0.006192 0.011212 0.021452 0.042913 0.096028
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002058 0.003497 0.006055 0.011192 0.021951 0.045213 0.105096
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001890 0.003251 0.005704 0.010717 0.021435 0.045195 0.108320
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001793 0.003126 0.005569 0.010662 0.021816 0.047269 0.117444
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001772 0.003141 0.005702 0.011168 0.023498 0.052653 0.136831
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001648 0.002951 0.005421 0.010776 0.023089 0.052891 0.141598
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001546 0.002798 0.005203 0.010500 0.022917 0.053702 0.148262
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001483 0.002717 0.005121 0.010512 0.023436 0.056368 0.161279
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001469 0.002731 0.005235 0.010971 0.025102 0.062350 0.186508